Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sportivo Las Parejas are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Independiente De Chivilcoy are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Las Parejas hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
38.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80