Sportivo Las Parejasvs
Gimnasia Concepción
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 9/19/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sportivo Las Parejas 0-0 Gimnasia Concepción, with an exact score probability of 47%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sportivo Las Parejas 1-0 Gimnasia Concepción
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 50.7% | 35.2% | -15.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.6% | 42.2% | 12.6 pts |
| Away | 4.59 | 19.6% | 22.7% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.6 pts
Projected Score
Sportivo Las Parejas 0–0 Gimnasia Concepción
Exact score probability: 47%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20