Primera B MetropolitanaPrimera B Metropolitana
Tuesday, 14 July 2026Last updated 12:42
Sportivo Italiano

Sportivo Italiano

Home
WD
10
Full time
Villa San Carlos

Villa San Carlos

Away
L
Republica de Italia Stadium
GoalVio prediction
42% confidence
Draw(30%)
Most likely exact score1-1
Prediction missed— Result: Sportivo Italiano
Win probability
Sportivo Italiano
28%
Draw
30%
Villa San Carlos
42%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Sportivo Italiano
34
Villa San Carlos
9
Defence
Sportivo Italiano
82
Villa San Carlos
66
Momentum
Sportivo Italiano
67
Villa San Carlos
0
Danger (xG)
Sportivo Italiano
0.90
Villa San Carlos
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Sportivo Italiano)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Villa San Carlos)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Sportivo Italiano)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Villa San Carlos)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano
WD
Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos
LD

Probability breakdown

42% confidence
Sportivo Italiano28%
Draw30%
Villa San Carlos42%

Villa San Carlos leads with 42% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Sportivo Italiano head into this in Primera B Metropolitana fixture at Republica de Italia Stadium in mixed form (WD), while Villa San Carlos arrive in mixed form (L). Sportivo Italiano have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Villa San Carlos over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Sportivo Italiano (82/100) and Villa San Carlos (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Sportivo Italiano have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. Villa San Carlos have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Sportivo Italiano have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 42% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Sportivo Italiano 2789%, Draw 3018%, Villa San Carlos 4193%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Sportivo Italiano 1Draws 00 Villa San Carlos
Avg goals: 1.0
14 Jul 2026
Sportivo Italiano
W10
Villa San Carlos

Recent form

Sportivo Italiano

Sportivo Italiano

W
vs Villa San Carlos
14 Jul 2026
10
D
vs Real Pilar
5 Jul 2026
11
Villa San Carlos

Villa San Carlos

L
@ Sportivo Italiano
14 Jul 2026
01
D
vs Argentino de Merlo
16 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sportivo Italiano vs Villa San Carlos?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 42% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Sportivo Italiano vs Villa San Carlos?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Sportivo Italiano vs Villa San Carlos?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sportivo Italiano vs Villa San Carlos?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more