GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 2/15/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sportivo Italiano are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while UAI Urquiza are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Italiano hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 14% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sportivo ItalianoDLWWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
UAI UrquizaDLWLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Sportivo ItalianoUAI Urquiza
36.8Attack16.1
74.7Defence72.4
56.3Form31.0
58.0Power42.1
0.69xG0.29
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