GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 10/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Sportivo Italiano 0-0 Talleres Remedios, with an exact score probability of 36%.

Prediction record

Final result

Sportivo Italiano 2-0 Talleres Remedios

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.0229.8%31.2%1.4 pts
Draw2.6833.6%38.0%4.5 pts
Away2.4536.6%30.8%-5.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.5 pts

Projected Score

Sportivo Italiano 0–0 Talleres Remedios

Exact score probability: 36%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

38.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sportivo ItalianoWDLWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Talleres RemediosWDLWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Sportivo ItalianoTalleres Remedios
38.7Attack36.0
74.8Defence81.1
55.9Form60.4
58.0Power60.9
0.55xG0.51
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