Sportivo ItalianovsSan Martín Burzaco

Sportivo Italiano are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while San Martín Burzaco are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Italiano hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 28.6% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while Sportivo Italiano holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.