Sportivo ItalianovsItuzaingó

Sportivo Italiano are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Ituzaingó are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Italiano hold a 27.6-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 25.5% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while Sportivo Italiano holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.