Sportivo ItalianovsDeportivo Merlo

Sportivo Italiano are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Deportivo Merlo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Italiano hold a 12.8-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 45.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.3% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while Sportivo Italiano holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.