GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 8/25/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sportivo Italiano · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sportivo Italiano are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Defensores Unidos are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Italiano hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 26.1% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while Sportivo Italiano holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sportivo Italiano

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

26.1%

Sportivo Italiano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sportivo ItalianoWDDWW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Defensores UnidosLLDDL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sportivo ItalianoDefensores Unidos
36.8Attack27.6
74.7Defence59.8
56.3Form29.9
58.0Power41.5
1.01xG0.37
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