Sportivo Italianovs
Brown DE Adrogue
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sportivo Italiano · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sportivo Italiano 0-0 Brown DE Adrogue, with an exact score probability of 30%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sportivo Italiano 0-0 Brown DE Adrogue
Original prediction
Sportivo Italiano
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 40.5% | 44.9% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.79 | 32.1% | 33.0% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.26 | 27.4% | 22.2% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.78 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Projected Score
Sportivo Italiano 0–0 Brown DE Adrogue
Exact score probability: 30%
Predicted outcome
Sportivo Italiano
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Sportivo Italiano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20