Sportivo Italianovs
Arsenal Sarandi
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 10/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sportivo Italiano 0-0 Arsenal Sarandi, with an exact score probability of 31%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sportivo Italiano 0-0 Arsenal Sarandi
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 35.6% | 32.2% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.82 | 31.9% | 34.7% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.76 | 32.6% | 33.1% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.82 · Draw 1.82 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Projected Score
Sportivo Italiano 0–0 Arsenal Sarandi
Exact score probability: 31%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.7%
Model confidence
34.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80