Sportivo Italianovs
Argentino Quilmes
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 4/18/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sportivo Italiano are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Argentino Quilmes are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Italiano hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 47.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 31.5% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
31.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40