Sportivo Huracanvs
Plaza Colonia
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 9/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plaza Colonia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sportivo Huracan 0-0 Plaza Colonia, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sportivo Huracan 1-2 Plaza Colonia
Original prediction
Plaza Colonia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.43 | 26.4% | 28.3% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.5% | 31.5% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.05 | 44.1% | 40.2% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Projected Score
Sportivo Huracan 0–0 Plaza Colonia
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Plaza Colonia
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Plaza Colonia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00