GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Segunda División · 10/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fenix · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Sportivo Huracan 0-0 Fenix

Original prediction

Fenix

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.6924.6%29.2%4.6 pts
Draw3.1428.9%29.9%1.0 pts
Away1.9546.5%40.9%-5.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.14 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-5.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–014%
  3. 3.0–114%

Predicted outcome

Fenix

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

40.9%

Fenix has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sportivo HuracanLWDLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
FenixWLLDW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sportivo HuracanFenix
38.3Attack48.8
58.0Defence63.1
44.4Form51.2
49.5Power55.8
0.89xG1.14
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