Sportivo Carapeguávs
Tacuary
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sportivo Carapeguá · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sportivo Carapeguá 0-0 Tacuary
Original prediction
Sportivo Carapeguá
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 48.9% | 49.7% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.4% | 24.7% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.61 | 24.7% | 25.6% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.37 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Sportivo Carapeguá
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Sportivo Carapeguá has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60