Sportivo Carapeguávs
Independiente F.b.c.
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 6/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente F.b.c. · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sportivo Carapeguá are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Independiente F.b.c. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente F.b.c. hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the Division Intermedia, while Independiente F.b.c. holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independiente F.b.c.
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
13.7%
Independiente F.b.c. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40