GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 8/23/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sportivo Carapeguá · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Sportivo Carapeguá are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Encarnación are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Carapeguá hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 36.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the Division Intermedia, while Sportivo Carapeguá holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sportivo Carapeguá

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

43.0%

Sportivo Carapeguá has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sportivo CarapeguáLWWLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
EncarnaciónLLLDW

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Sportivo CarapeguáEncarnación
38.6Attack26.3
45.6Defence52.6
43.9Form21.1
45.4Power36.1
1.22xG0.76
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