GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 4/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sportivo Carapeguá · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Sportivo Carapeguá are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while 3 de Noviembre are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Carapeguá hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 30.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.0% in the Division Intermedia, while Sportivo Carapeguá holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sportivo Carapeguá

Probability

55.6%

Model confidence

15.0%

Sportivo Carapeguá has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sportivo CarapeguáLDLWL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
3 de NoviembreD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
Sportivo Carapeguá3 de Noviembre
40.7Attack25.9
46.3Defence44.4
46.3Form13.0
47.1Power30.8
1.54xG0.72
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