Sportivo Belgranovs
Douglas Haig
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 9/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sportivo Belgrano 0-0 Douglas Haig, with an exact score probability of 31%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sportivo Belgrano 0-4 Douglas Haig
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 37.6% | 34.0% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.66 | 33.8% | 36.2% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.15 | 28.6% | 29.9% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Projected Score
Sportivo Belgrano 0–0 Douglas Haig
Exact score probability: 31%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sportivo BelgranoLWLLL
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Douglas HaigLWWDL
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Sportivo BelgranoDouglas Haig
32.0Attack41.7
74.7Defence69.4
46.7Form54.2
52.3Power56.0
0.63xG0.59