Sportivo BelgranovsDouglas Haig

Sportivo Belgrano are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Douglas Haig are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Belgrano hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (56.8 v 54.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.1% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.