GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sportivo Belgrano are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Defensores de Belgrano VR are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Belgrano hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (59.0 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.0% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

27.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sportivo BelgranoDDDDD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Defensores de Belgrano VRLWDWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sportivo BelgranoDefensores de Belgrano VR
36.7Attack41.7
83.3Defence65.0
53.3Form50.0
59.0Power54.1
0.84xG0.51
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