Sportivo Belgranovs
Bartolomé Mitre
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/30/2026, 7:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sportivo Belgrano 0-0 Bartolomé Mitre, with an exact score probability of 45%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sportivo Belgrano 2-0 Bartolomé Mitre
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 51.6% | 38.3% | -13.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.99 | 30.3% | 41.0% | 10.8 pts |
| Away | 5.00 | 18.1% | 20.7% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.8 pts
Projected Score
Sportivo Belgrano 0–0 Bartolomé Mitre
Exact score probability: 45%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60