GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera C · 4/8/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sportivo Barracas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lugano are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lugano hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sportivo BarracasLDLLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LuganoLWDWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sportivo BarracasLugano
40.9Attack39.1
65.2Defence71.0
47.0Form52.2
52.3Power55.6
0.76xG0.76
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