Sportivo Barracasvs
Leones de Rosario
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 10/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sportivo Barracas 0-0 Leones de Rosario, with an exact score probability of 32%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sportivo Barracas 0-2 Leones de Rosario
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 35.6% | 33.4% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.68 | 33.1% | 36.7% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 31.2% | 29.9% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Projected Score
Sportivo Barracas 0–0 Leones de Rosario
Exact score probability: 32%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40