GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera C · 4/20/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sportivo Barracas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Sportivo Barracas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Deportivo Paraguayo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Barracas hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 37.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.9% in the Primera C, while Sportivo Barracas holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sportivo Barracas

Probability

53.6%

Model confidence

22.9%

Sportivo Barracas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sportivo BarracasLWLDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo ParaguayoWLLWD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sportivo BarracasDeportivo Paraguayo
40.9Attack17.4
65.2Defence58.0
47.0Form29.0
52.3Power37.8
1.16xG0.42
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