Sportivo Barracasvs
Deportivo Español
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 8/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sportivo Barracas 0-0 Deportivo Español, with an exact score probability of 37%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sportivo Barracas 0-1 Deportivo Español
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.81 | 31.9% | 34.0% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.62 | 34.1% | 38.9% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 2.63 | 34.0% | 27.2% | -6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Projected Score
Sportivo Barracas 0–0 Deportivo Español
Exact score probability: 37%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 0.20/0.00