Sportivo Amelianovs
Rubio NU
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 10/6/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sportivo Ameliano · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 2-0 (14%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sportivo Ameliano 1-2 Rubio NU
Original prediction
Sportivo Ameliano
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 13:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.7% | 58.1% | 16.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.4% | 23.8% | -4.7 pts |
| Away | 3.06 | 29.8% | 18.2% | -11.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.2–014%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Sportivo Ameliano
Probability
58.1%
Model confidence
58.1%
Sportivo Ameliano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00