GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/15/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sportivo Ameliano · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Sportivo Ameliano are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Rayo Zuliano are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 15.3 against 14.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Sportivo Ameliano holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sportivo Ameliano

Probability

57.1%

Model confidence

57.1%

Sportivo Ameliano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sportivo AmelianoWWDLW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Rayo ZulianoLLLDL

GF 4 · GA 19 · avg 0.80/3.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Sportivo AmelianoRayo Zuliano
33.3Attack4.8
0.0Defence14.3
0.0Form9.5
15.3Power14.3
1.78xG0.79
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