Sportivo Amelianovs
Olimpia
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 10/25/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olimpia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 Olimpia, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sportivo Ameliano 2-3 Olimpia
Original prediction
Olimpia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 02:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.12 | 22.2% | 19.3% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.0% | 27.1% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 1.77 | 51.8% | 53.6% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Projected Score
Sportivo Ameliano 0–1 Olimpia
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Olimpia
Probability
53.6%
Model confidence
53.6%
Olimpia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40