GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/8/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Olimpia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Sportivo Ameliano are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Olimpia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Olimpia hold a 50.1-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 65.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Olimpia holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Olimpia

Probability

48.5%

Model confidence

48.5%

Olimpia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sportivo AmelianoWLWDD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
OlimpiaWLLWW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sportivo AmelianoOlimpia
33.3Attack45.8
0.0Defence75.0
0.0Form70.8
15.3Power65.4
0.70xG1.35
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