Sportivo Amelianovs
Olimpia
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/8/2024, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olimpia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Sportivo Ameliano are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Olimpia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Olimpia hold a 50.1-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 65.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Olimpia holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Olimpia
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Olimpia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00