Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - Clausura
Saturday, 25 July 202622:30Last updated 12:41
Sportivo Ameliano

Sportivo Ameliano

Home
DD
11
Full time
Nacional Asuncion

Nacional Asuncion

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
50% confidence
Sportivo Ameliano(50%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Sportivo Ameliano
50%
Draw
27%
Nacional Asuncion
24%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Sportivo Ameliano
18
Nacional Asuncion
34
Defence
Sportivo Ameliano
82
Nacional Asuncion
66
Momentum
Sportivo Ameliano
33
Nacional Asuncion
33
Danger (xG)
Sportivo Ameliano
0.45
Nacional Asuncion
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Sportivo Ameliano)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (Nacional Asuncion)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Sportivo Ameliano)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Nacional Asuncion)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano
DD
Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion
D

Probability breakdown

50% confidence
Sportivo Ameliano50%
Draw27%
Nacional Asuncion24%

Sportivo Ameliano leads with 50% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Sportivo Ameliano head into this in Division Profesional - Clausura fixture in mixed form (DD), while Nacional Asuncion arrive in mixed form (D). Sportivo Ameliano have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Nacional Asuncion over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Sportivo Ameliano (82/100) and Nacional Asuncion (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Sportivo Ameliano have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Nacional Asuncion have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Sportivo Ameliano and Nacional Asuncion in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Sportivo Ameliano to win with 50% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Sportivo Ameliano 4962%, Draw 2655%, Nacional Asuncion 2383%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Sportivo Ameliano

Sportivo Ameliano

D
@ Club Guarani
16 May 2026
00
D
vs Deportivo Recoleta
11 May 2026
11
Nacional Asuncion

Nacional Asuncion

D
@ Rubio NU
15 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion?

GoalVio's model predicts Sportivo Ameliano to win with 50% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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