GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/22/2024, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Libertad Asuncion · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sportivo Ameliano are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Libertad Asuncion are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Libertad Asuncion hold a 43.4-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Libertad Asuncion holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Libertad Asuncion

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

38.4%

Libertad Asuncion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sportivo AmelianoDDLDD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Libertad AsuncionDDLDD

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sportivo AmelianoLibertad Asuncion
33.3Attack33.3
0.0Defence75.0
0.0Form58.3
15.3Power58.8
0.90xG1.17
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