GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/8/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sportivo Ameliano are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Danubio are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Danubio hold a 31.2-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 46.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sportivo AmelianoWDLWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
DanubioDWLDL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Sportivo AmelianoDanubio
33.3Attack28.6
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form38.1
15.3Power46.6
0.93xG0.94
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