Sportivo Amelianovs
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 9/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sportivo Ameliano · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Original prediction
Sportivo Ameliano
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 54.6% | 64.1% | 9.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 26.1% | 22.2% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 4.76 | 19.3% | 13.7% | -5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.5 pts
Projected Score
Sportivo Ameliano 1–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Sportivo Ameliano
Probability
64.1%
Model confidence
64.1%
Sportivo Ameliano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00