Sportivo Amelianovs
Atletico Paranaense
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/3/2024, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Sportivo Ameliano are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atletico Paranaense are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 52.6-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 67.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico Paranaense
Probability
64.5%
Model confidence
64.5%
Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00