GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/3/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Sportivo Ameliano are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atletico Paranaense are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 52.6-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 67.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Paranaense

Probability

64.5%

Model confidence

64.5%

Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sportivo AmelianoWWLWD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico ParanaenseLWDDD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sportivo AmelianoAtletico Paranaense
33.3Attack72.2
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form69.4
15.3Power67.9
0.80xG2.15
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