Sportist Svogevs
Vihren
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 9/21/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vihren · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sportist Svoge 0-1 Vihren, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sportist Svoge 3-2 Vihren
Original prediction
Vihren
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.19 | 21.4% | 17.1% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.0% | 27.8% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 1.73 | 51.6% | 55.0% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Projected Score
Sportist Svoge 0–1 Vihren
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Vihren
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
Vihren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sportist SvogeLDLDL
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
VihrenWWWWD
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sportist SvogeVihren
14.8Attack77.8
74.1Defence70.4
25.9Form77.8
41.3Power75.8
0.48xG1.21