GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · Second League · 7/22/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Varna · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Sportist Svoge are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Spartak Varna are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Varna hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 67.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Second League, while Spartak Varna holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Varna

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

Spartak Varna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sportist SvogeLLLDL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Spartak VarnaWWLWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sportist SvogeSpartak Varna
33.3Attack58.8
77.8Defence72.5
55.6Form70.6
59.1Power67.4
0.71xG1.29
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