Sportist Svogevs
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 9/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sportist Svoge · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sportist Svoge 0-0 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sportist Svoge 0-0 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Original prediction
Sportist Svoge
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 43.0% | 38.7% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 29.9% | 32.4% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.30 | 27.1% | 28.9% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Projected Score
Sportist Svoge 0–0 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Sportist Svoge
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Sportist Svoge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20