Sportist Svogevs
Hebar 1918
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hebar 1918 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sportist Svoge 1-3 Hebar 1918
Original prediction
Hebar 1918
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.61 | 34.3% | 29.3% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.99 | 30.0% | 28.4% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.51 | 35.7% | 42.3% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Hebar 1918
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Hebar 1918 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20