Sporting San Miguelitovs
Union Cocle
COMPLETEDPanama · Liga Panameña de Fútbol · 10/6/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting San Miguelito · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sporting San Miguelito 0-0 Union Cocle, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting San Miguelito 3-1 Union Cocle
Original prediction
Sporting San Miguelito
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.4% | 40.4% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.2% | 31.8% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 3.85 | 23.4% | 27.8% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.0 pts
Projected Score
Sporting San Miguelito 0–0 Union Cocle
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Sporting San Miguelito
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Sporting San Miguelito has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20