Sporting San Miguelitovs
Tauro FC
COMPLETEDPanama · Liga Panameña de Fútbol · 10/20/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tauro FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting San Miguelito 0-2 Tauro FC
Original prediction
Tauro FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.50 | 36.0% | 33.4% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 29.1% | 28.2% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.57 | 35.0% | 38.5% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Tauro FC
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Tauro FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00