Sporting San Miguelitovs
San Francisco FC
COMPLETEDPanama · Liga Panameña de Fútbol · 9/15/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Francisco FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting San Miguelito 0-2 San Francisco FC
Original prediction
San Francisco FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.89 | 31.0% | 34.4% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.93 | 30.6% | 27.5% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 38.4% | 38.1% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
San Francisco FC
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
San Francisco FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40