Sporting San Miguelitovs
Herrera
COMPLETEDPanama · Liga Panameña de Fútbol · 8/30/2026, 11:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting San Miguelito · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sporting San Miguelito 1-0 Herrera, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting San Miguelito 3-1 Herrera
Original prediction
Sporting San Miguelito
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.4% | 59.8% | 7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.9% | 25.0% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 4.37 | 20.8% | 15.3% | -5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.4 pts
Projected Score
Sporting San Miguelito 1–0 Herrera
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Sporting San Miguelito
Probability
59.8%
Model confidence
59.8%
Sporting San Miguelito has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20