Sporting San Miguelitovs
Alianza FC
COMPLETEDPanama · Liga Panameña de Fútbol · 2/12/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sporting San Miguelito are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Alianza FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza FC hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 56.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Liga Panameña de Fútbol, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40