Sporting San Josevs
San Carlos
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Primera División · 10/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting San Jose · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sporting San Jose 1-0 San Carlos, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting San Jose 3-3 San Carlos
Original prediction
Sporting San Jose
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 12:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 55.0% | 51.6% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.9% | 26.8% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.75 | 19.1% | 21.6% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.50 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Projected Score
Sporting San Jose 1–0 San Carlos
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Sporting San Jose
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Sporting San Jose has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40