GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Primera División · 8/6/2023, 2:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

LD Alajuelense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sporting San Jose are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while LD Alajuelense are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WDW), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and LD Alajuelense hold a 34.6-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 74.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the Primera División, while LD Alajuelense holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

LD Alajuelense

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

44.4%

LD Alajuelense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting San JoseWL

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
LD AlajuelenseWDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.67/1.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Sporting San JoseLD Alajuelense
33.3Attack66.7
55.6Defence77.8
22.2Form77.8
40.2Power74.7
0.97xG1.45
View match centre →