GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Primera División · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sporting San Jose · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Sporting San Jose 2-0 Inter San Carlos

Original prediction

Sporting San Jose

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5658.2%45.4%-12.8 pts
Draw3.8623.6%27.8%4.3 pts
Away4.9918.2%26.8%8.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-12.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–015%
  2. 2.1–115%
  3. 3.1–014%

Predicted outcome

Sporting San Jose

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

Sporting San Jose has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting San JoseWWLLD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Inter San CarlosWWWDL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Sporting San JoseInter San Carlos
53.3Attack40.0
73.3Defence73.3
53.3Form66.7
60.1Power62.3
1.14xG0.87
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