Sporting San Josevs
Deportivo Saprissa
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Primera División · 9/13/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Saprissa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting San Jose 4-2 Deportivo Saprissa
Original prediction
Deportivo Saprissa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.41 | 37.5% | 32.0% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.5% | 28.6% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 32.0% | 39.4% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Saprissa
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Deportivo Saprissa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20