Sporting Paulinensevs
Sao Carlos
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista Série B · 7/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sao Carlos · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Sporting Paulinense are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Sao Carlos are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sao Carlos hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 49.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.1% in the Paulista Série B, while Sao Carlos holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sao Carlos
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
15.1%
Sao Carlos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60