GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 7/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sao Carlos · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Sporting Paulinense are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Sao Carlos are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sao Carlos hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 49.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.1% in the Paulista Série B, while Sao Carlos holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sao Carlos

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

15.1%

Sao Carlos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting PaulinenseWWWLW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sao CarlosLDWDW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Sporting PaulinenseSao Carlos
31.0Attack52.8
54.8Defence61.1
50.0Form41.7
47.4Power49.8
0.78xG1.31
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