Sporting Paulinensevs
Independente SP
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista Série B · 7/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independente SP · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
Sporting Paulinense are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Independente SP are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 4.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Independente SP hold a 26.6-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 74.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.9% in the Paulista Série B, while Independente SP holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independente SP
Probability
74.2%
Model confidence
16.9%
Independente SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 21 · GA 3 · avg 4.20/0.60