GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 7/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independente SP · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Sporting Paulinense are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Independente SP are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 4.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Independente SP hold a 26.6-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 74.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.9% in the Paulista Série B, while Independente SP holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independente SP

Probability

74.2%

Model confidence

16.9%

Independente SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting PaulinenseWWWWL

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Independente SPWWWLL

GF 21 · GA 3 · avg 4.20/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Sporting PaulinenseIndependente SP
31.0Attack88.2
54.8Defence78.4
50.0Form76.5
47.4Power74.1
0.49xG2.12
View match centre →